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SPC Day 1 Outlook

Updates are issued at 0600 UTC, 1300 UTC, 1630 UTC, 2000 UTC, 0100 UTC - Current UTC time: Oct 17 2018 1:09 am


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Day 2


Categorical Day 1 Outlook

000
ACUS01 KWNS 170030
SWODY1
SPC AC 170029

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0729 PM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018

Valid 170100Z - 171200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST
SOUTH CAROLINA INTO SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...

...SUMMARY...
A couple of locally strong thunderstorm wind gusts remain possible
this evening, mainly from southeast North Carolina into northeast
South Carolina.

...Southeast North Carolina and northeast South Carolina...

This evening a quasi-stationary front extends from southeast NC
through central SC, central GA, southern AL and into the northwest
Gulf. The Carolina portion of this front exists along the southern
periphery of a belt of stronger westerlies with effective bulk shear
from 30-40 kt, but with weak winds in the lowest 3 km. Thunderstorms
forming along this portion of the boundary will have the potential
to develop mid-level updraft rotation and bowing segments capable of
locally strong wind gusts this evening. A very marginal
thermodynamic environment including weak lapse rates, a stabilizing
surface layer, and weak instability will continue to serve as a
limiting factor. For additional information reference swomcd 1587.

..Dial.. 10/17/2018

$$
        

Day 3

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